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Polymarket Bot Rules: 5 Things to Do and 5 to AvoidTen rules for a Polymarket or Kalshi trading bot from two months of live testing: five that saved money and five that cost it.
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Polymarket Historical Data and Kalshi Data: Where to Get ItFree Polymarket historical data, Kalshi candlesticks, on-chain fills and your own logger, plus how to backfill official outcomes and get spot prices.
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Best VPS for a Polymarket or Kalshi Bot: Region and LatencyWhich region to host a trading bot in, what latency did to a live result, which VPS providers fit, and the burstable tier to avoid.
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Polymarket Fees and Kalshi Fees: What a Trade Really CostsPolymarket fees, Kalshi fees and the other two exchanges compared: the formula, the breakeven win rate at every price, and why rebates do not fix it.
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Case studyThe favourite in the last 15 secondsA taker edge found by measuring the book near the close. Positive on seven coins, dead without a fast order path.
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Case studyA model with a live checkpoint that passedNine book features, one season of training, one untouched test, then live money with a pre-registered bar.
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Case studyThe maker seat on 4-hour marketsLiquidity rewards pay per market per day. On long windows that arithmetic clears the bar, then stops scaling.
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Case studyThe first live bot: 83 percent wins, zero profitBuy the favourite, hold to settlement. What broke, what the labels hid, and why a high win rate is not an edge.
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Should an AI Make Your Bot's Trading Decisions? Cost per Call vs Thin BooksPer-decision model costs against what a $10 ticket on a thin prediction-market book can pay, and where a language model actually earns its keep.
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What happens after you find an edgeLate books emptied within a week, leaders rotated, and one exchange changed its settlement rule overnight.
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Do Polymarket Bots Work? What Two Months Live ShowedDo Polymarket and Kalshi bots make money? The base rates, which strategies cleared the fee in live testing, and where the money actually sits.